Bologna host Roma on Saturday in a Serie A match that still carries real weight, especially for the visitors. Roma are chasing Champions League qualification, while Bologna are trying to recover from a poor recent spell, and that creates an interesting setup for a corners-based angle. For today’s free pick, the focus is on Roma Over 4.5 Corners at 2.10, which looks like strong value given the match context.
Match Information
Match: Bologna vs Roma
Competition: Serie A
Date: 25 April 2026
Kick-off Time: 16:00 UTC
Stadium: Stadio Renato Dall’Ara, Bologna
Free Pick: Roma Over 4.5 Corners
Odds: 2.10
Match Analysis
The biggest reason this market stands out is Roma’s motivation. Going into the weekend, Roma are sixth in Serie A and still chasing a top-four finish, sitting five points behind fourth-placed Juventus with only a handful of matches left. Bologna, by contrast, are eighth and their coach Vincenzo Italiano has reportedly admitted their campaign is close to being over after recent setbacks. That difference matters, because the team with the greater urgency is usually the team more likely to force territory, shots and sustained pressure phases that lead to corners.
There is also a useful tactical angle behind this football prediction. Sports Mole’s preview expects Roma to line up aggressively enough to keep pushing for three points, while both Sports Mole and SportsGambler project attacking players such as Matias Soule, Wesley, Stephan El Shaarawy and Donyell Malen in advanced roles for the visitors. Malen’s form is especially relevant, with Sports Mole noting that he has scored 10 goals in 13 league appearances since joining in January. A Roma side that still needs the win, with pace and direct running in wide and forward areas, is exactly the kind of profile that can build a healthy corner count. These lineups are still projected rather than officially confirmed.
Roma’s wider corner profile gives further support to the pick. Statmuse lists Roma at 5.00 corners per match in Serie A this season, which means this line is already close to their standard output over the full campaign. FotMob’s team stats page also places Roma among the stronger corner-producing sides in the division, while Bologna sit lower on the same list. In other words, this is not an unusually high target for Roma; it is a line they can reach simply by performing around their normal league average.
The likely game state also helps. Bologna have lost six of eight home league fixtures in 2026, according to Sports Mole, and have looked far less convincing at the Dall’Ara than in previous periods. If Roma start well or if Bologna allow the visitors long spells of possession, the away side should be able to build pressure through repeated attacks rather than isolated moments. Even if Roma do not dominate the match completely, a competitive, back-and-forth game can still suit this market if they are the side more aggressively chasing the win.
Team news adds context too. Bologna are missing Lukasz Skorupski, Nicolo Casale and Thijs Dallinga, while Federico Bernardeschi is also dealing with a muscular problem. Roma, meanwhile, are without Lorenzo Pellegrini, Manu Kone, Artem Dovbyk and Evan Ferguson, though Wesley is back and Paulo Dybala could return to the squad. Those absences do not weaken the corners case much. If anything, Roma’s shortage of central attacking options may push them toward more wing-driven attacks and more deliveries into the box, which can be positive for corners.
Referee and conditions do not look like a major obstacle. Multiple listings indicate Marco Di Bello is set to officiate, while forecast pages point to warm and playable conditions in Bologna, around the mid-20s Celsius. That should allow the match to be played at a normal tempo without weather becoming a negative factor for attacking football.
Final Prediction
Match Prediction: Roma Over 4.5 Corners
This selection makes strong sense because Roma have far more to play for, their season average is already around five corners per Serie A match, and the likely tactical setup should see them attack with urgency. The main risk is that Bologna score first and force Roma into a more chaotic game than expected, but even that scenario could still help the corner count rather than hurt it. At 2.10, this looks like big value.
Alternative Picks
A supporting alternative is Roma Draw No Bet, based on the same idea that the visitors have the stronger motivation and sharper attacking edge. Another related option is Roma Over 0.5 First-Half Corners, especially if they start aggressively in a match they really need to win.
Conclusion
This is a smart spot to back Roma in a team-performance market rather than relying on the full-time result. The visitors need points, they generally produce around five corners per league game, and the match should give them enough attacking phases to threaten this line. That makes Roma Over 4.5 Corners a very solid free pick for Bologna vs Roma.